Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Health Care and Social Assistance Employment Growth
Across North Carolina Counties
Health Care and Social Assistance
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Health Care and Social Assistance
Employment Growth
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 1.25%
2022 = 1.84%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of health care and social assistance employment growth across all of North Carolina's 100 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this North Carolina Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the health care and social assistance employment growth of North Carolina's 100 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Health Care and Social Assistance
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Health Care and Social Assistance
Employment Growth
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 1.25%
2022 = 1.84%
This figure displays the 100 counties of North Carolina as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the health care and social assistance employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term health care and social assistance employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 1.25%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 1.25% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (1.25%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 20 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 34 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 26 counties whose most recent (2022) health care and social assistance employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.84%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 28 counties whose health care and social assistance employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 100 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 1.25% over 2010-2022 and 1.84% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (1.25%) and near-term (1.84%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.25%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the North Carolina average (1.84%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (1.25%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (1.84%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (1.25%) and near-term (1.84%).
   
 
Summary of North Carolina's 100 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(1.84%)
Above
(1.84%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(1.25%)
9
11
20
Below
(1.25%)
19
15
34
 
28
26
54
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 1.25%
2022 = 1.84%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the North Carolina counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed North Carolina's average annual health care and social assistance employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.25%) as well as near-term (2022 = 1.84%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of North Carolina's 100 counties, just 11 (11%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 1.25%
2022 = 1.84%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 9 North Carolina counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 1.25%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 1.84%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 9 (9%) of North Carolina's 100 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 1.25%
2022 = 1.84%
This figure shows the distribution of the 15 North Carolina counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 1.25%), while they outpaced North Carolina's average near-term (2022 = 1.84%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of North Carolina's 100 counties, only 15% (15) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 1.25%
2022 = 1.84%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 19 North Carolina counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual health care and social assistance employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.25%) as well as near-term (2022 = 1.84%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
19% of North Carolina's counties, 19 of 100, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
North Carolina
Health Care and Social Assistance Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
2
3.81
 
25
3.11
5,273
 
17
1.39
 
10
5.44
7,109
 
14
1.57
 
29
2.32
2,775
 
16
1.46
 
32
2.03
6,898
 
6
2.81
 
2
14.44
6,426
 
8
2.67
 
22
3.38
70,926
 
1
4.98
 
33
1.99
22,549
 
5
2.99
 
7
6.32
9,223
 
3
3.21
 
9
5.81
6,195
 
4
3.07
 
17
4.30
79,445
 
19
1.35
 
23
3.34
4,024
Slipping Counties
 
10
2.47
 
60
-1.76
11,989
 
15
1.51
 
58
-1.56
26,252
 
11
2.41
 
44
0.49
41,872
 
13
1.69
 
48
0.00
43,479
 
18
1.36
 
35
1.69
42,689
 
9
2.49
 
61
-1.90
2,730
 
12
2.00
 
49
0.00
10,333
 
7
2.73
 
51
-0.21
2,802
 
20
1.32
 
52
-0.31
4,526
Gaining Counties
 
43
-0.73
 
28
2.77
1,225
 
23
0.83
 
15
4.32
3,360
 
52
-1.94
 
27
2.99
2,862
 
25
0.61
 
18
3.91
1,197
 
24
0.79
 
24
3.26
13,164
 
50
-1.89
 
16
4.30
2,133
 
22
0.90
 
31
2.07
8,726
 
41
-0.71
 
8
6.14
1,487
 
28
0.31
 
14
4.40
949
 
29
0.30
 
20
3.58
4,654
 
21
1.11
 
11
5.29
5,430
 
35
-0.31
 
12
4.49
10,800
 
34
-0.30
 
13
4.40
4,907
 
36
-0.31
 
1
15.88
2,299
 
48
-1.65
 
19
3.60
3,392
Lagging Counties
 
51
-1.93
 
72
-7.57
2,089
 
44
-1.02
 
69
-4.88
4,814
 
27
0.47
 
41
0.76
3,961
 
30
0.29
 
47
0.33
9,531
 
37
-0.43
 
38
1.20
5,161
 
31
0.23
 
43
0.70
15,009
 
42
-0.72
 
67
-4.62
4,814
 
32
-0.29
 
55
-0.61
651
 
26
0.53
 
70
-6.43
2,168
 
40
-0.68
 
46
0.34
2,939
 
47
-1.64
 
40
0.89
3,185
 
33
-0.30
 
54
-0.50
1,384
 
45
-1.46
 
56
-0.76
7,982
 
38
-0.46
 
62
-3.16
5,767
 
53
-2.37
 
53
-0.42
2,626
 
54
-3.33
 
57
-0.80
1,996
 
39
-0.66
 
59
-1.62
1,702
 
46
-1.50
 
64
-3.89
2,250
 
49
-1.67
 
68
-4.75
6,037
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
671
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
71
-7.35
681
 
U
U
 
4
8.13
133
 
U
U
 
S
S
533
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
42
0.76
5,549
 
U
U
 
3
9.23
485
 
U
U
 
26
3.01
1,609
 
U
U
 
21
3.45
1,348
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
63
-3.43
1,350
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
49
0.00
191
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
34
1.74
3,503
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
70
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
6
6.46
2,027
 
U
U
 
37
1.34
1,663
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
39
1.03
1,864
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
65
-3.99
1,566
 
U
U
 
30
2.14
1,860
 
U
U
 
S
S
2,462
 
U
U
 
36
1.62
1,128
 
U
U
 
45
0.47
3,431
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
73
-7.92
349
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
5
6.91
3,127
 
U
U
 
66
-4.20
729
 
U
U
 
S
S
516
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.25
 
1.84
613,981
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.78
 
2.41
23,545,500
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_511600_LSGL
 
   
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