Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Employment Growth
Across North Carolina Counties
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Employment Growth
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 4.03%
2022 = 10.76%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real estate and rental and leasing employment growth across all of North Carolina's 100 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this North Carolina Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real estate and rental and leasing employment growth of North Carolina's 100 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Employment Growth
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 4.03%
2022 = 10.76%
This figure displays the 100 counties of North Carolina as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real estate and rental and leasing employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 4.03%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 4.03% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (4.03%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 34 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 51 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 42 counties whose most recent (2022) real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (10.76%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 43 counties whose real estate and rental and leasing employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 100 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 4.03% over 2010-2022 and 10.76% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (4.03%) and near-term (10.76%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.03%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the North Carolina average (10.76%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (4.03%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (10.76%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (4.03%) and near-term (10.76%).
   
 
Summary of North Carolina's 100 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(10.76%)
Above
(10.76%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(4.03%)
17
17
34
Below
(4.03%)
26
25
51
 
43
42
85
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 4.03%
2022 = 10.76%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the North Carolina counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed North Carolina's average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.03%) as well as near-term (2022 = 10.76%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of North Carolina's 100 counties, 17 (17%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 4.03%
2022 = 10.76%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 17 North Carolina counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.03%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 10.76%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 17 (17%) of North Carolina's 100 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 4.03%
2022 = 10.76%
This figure shows the distribution of the 25 North Carolina counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.03%), while they outpaced North Carolina's average near-term (2022 = 10.76%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of North Carolina's 100 counties, 25% (25) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 4.03%
2022 = 10.76%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 26 North Carolina counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.03%) as well as near-term (2022 = 10.76%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
26% of North Carolina's counties, 26 of 100, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
North Carolina
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
21
4.63
 
44
10.78
483
 
18
4.64
 
12
12.15
240
 
15
4.76
 
13
12.13
10,271
 
6
6.21
 
21
11.60
1,433
 
22
4.63
 
30
11.22
1,061
 
3
7.34
 
2
20.45
324
 
28
4.36
 
32
11.20
6,922
 
8
5.91
 
15
12.08
2,579
 
9
5.40
 
7
12.91
516
 
16
4.67
 
34
11.16
4,053
 
25
4.52
 
33
11.19
4,718
 
5
6.50
 
16
11.75
2,302
 
34
4.05
 
14
12.09
2,661
 
2
7.38
 
18
11.71
391
 
11
5.34
 
24
11.47
8,029
 
24
4.59
 
26
11.38
57,049
 
29
4.32
 
9
12.57
3,207
Slipping Counties
 
12
5.13
 
70
9.89
411
 
14
4.84
 
66
10.01
14,158
 
10
5.40
 
45
10.76
6,745
 
1
8.19
 
52
10.60
2,411
 
23
4.59
 
53
10.59
1,567
 
26
4.51
 
76
9.47
3,423
 
32
4.06
 
68
9.99
1,211
 
13
4.94
 
74
9.73
2,684
 
19
4.64
 
54
10.57
3,892
 
4
6.89
 
72
9.86
646
 
7
6.19
 
60
10.45
5,498
 
30
4.30
 
89
6.39
1,766
 
31
4.17
 
58
10.54
61,588
 
17
4.66
 
59
10.49
5,340
 
33
4.05
 
75
9.65
5,533
 
27
4.40
 
81
9.22
675
 
20
4.63
 
51
10.63
531
Gaining Counties
 
35
4.02
 
37
11.05
784
 
63
2.89
 
6
13.28
1,177
 
46
3.48
 
27
11.37
5,983
 
54
3.14
 
31
11.21
1,547
 
75
2.46
 
39
10.99
4,856
 
79
1.95
 
38
11.00
323
 
76
2.28
 
17
11.73
381
 
57
3.01
 
29
11.29
1,577
 
39
3.76
 
43
10.79
534
 
51
3.15
 
41
10.89
12,225
 
45
3.55
 
10
12.28
1,746
 
73
2.58
 
20
11.61
1,279
 
65
2.86
 
4
15.25
771
 
36
3.96
 
40
10.96
15,576
 
66
2.86
 
5
13.67
948
 
61
2.95
 
36
11.07
572
 
38
3.77
 
28
11.34
599
 
69
2.69
 
23
11.48
2,389
 
70
2.66
 
1
21.31
1,281
 
44
3.58
 
19
11.61
702
 
43
3.61
 
42
10.89
1,314
 
52
3.14
 
22
11.48
1,262
 
58
2.99
 
11
12.17
129
 
40
3.74
 
25
11.45
2,258
 
60
2.97
 
35
11.09
1,843
Lagging Counties
 
48
3.33
 
64
10.23
3,999
 
59
2.98
 
50
10.63
666
 
47
3.42
 
62
10.39
457
 
64
2.89
 
65
10.06
1,149
 
37
3.92
 
69
9.90
4,041
 
84
1.07
 
63
10.31
631
 
50
3.17
 
47
10.71
910
 
72
2.59
 
61
10.39
2,836
 
62
2.94
 
77
9.39
7,885
 
81
1.78
 
87
7.10
5,231
 
42
3.65
 
80
9.36
5,155
 
41
3.66
 
57
10.54
22,178
 
82
1.27
 
90
5.75
680
 
74
2.47
 
79
9.39
1,107
 
68
2.81
 
56
10.55
1,394
 
80
1.95
 
48
10.70
300
 
56
3.03
 
86
8.11
240
 
71
2.65
 
84
8.34
2,261
 
77
2.18
 
67
10.00
385
 
78
2.12
 
78
9.39
1,526
 
55
3.07
 
71
9.87
1,280
 
85
0.97
 
73
9.82
358
 
67
2.84
 
82
9.05
1,603
 
83
1.14
 
55
10.56
974
 
49
3.25
 
88
7.09
1,223
 
53
3.14
 
46
10.75
371
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
85
8.16
663
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
8
12.61
125
 
U
U
 
83
8.42
322
 
U
U
 
49
10.66
218
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
692
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
3
16.79
306
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.03
 
10.76
359,328
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.63
 
10.26
11,832,200
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_511100_LSGL
 
   
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