Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Administrative and Waste Services Earnings Growth
Across North Carolina Counties
Real* Administrative and Waste Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Administrative and Waste Services
Earnings Growth
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 7.40%
2022 = 16.40%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real administrative and waste services earnings growth across all of North Carolina's 100 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this North Carolina Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real administrative and waste services earnings growth of North Carolina's 100 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Administrative and Waste Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Administrative and Waste Services
Earnings Growth
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 7.40%
2022 = 16.40%
This figure displays the 100 counties of North Carolina as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real administrative and waste services earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 7.40%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 7.40% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (7.40%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 44 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 33 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 32 counties whose most recent (2022) real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (16.40%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 45 counties whose real administrative and waste services earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 100 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 7.40% over 2010-2022 and 16.40% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (7.40%) and near-term (16.40%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (7.40%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the North Carolina average (16.40%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (7.40%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (16.40%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (7.40%) and near-term (16.40%).
   
 
Summary of North Carolina's 100 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(16.40%)
Above
(16.40%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(7.40%)
21
23
44
Below
(7.40%)
24
9
33
 
45
32
77
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 7.40%
2022 = 16.40%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the North Carolina counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed North Carolina's average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 7.40%) as well as near-term (2022 = 16.40%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of North Carolina's 100 counties, 23 (23%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 7.40%
2022 = 16.40%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 21 North Carolina counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 7.40%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 16.40%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 21 (21%) of North Carolina's 100 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 7.40%
2022 = 16.40%
This figure shows the distribution of the 9 North Carolina counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 7.40%), while they outpaced North Carolina's average near-term (2022 = 16.40%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of North Carolina's 100 counties, only 9% (9) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
North Carolina:
2010-2022 = 7.40%
2022 = 16.40%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 24 North Carolina counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 7.40%) as well as near-term (2022 = 16.40%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
24% of North Carolina's counties, 24 of 100, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
North Carolina
Real* Administrative and Waste Services Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
3
16.65
 
3
57.14
40,367
 
37
8.06
 
23
22.57
597,352
 
28
8.73
 
22
22.69
66,827
 
11
11.49
 
27
20.51
86,193
 
39
8.01
 
13
29.46
15,202
 
26
8.80
 
35
18.39
182,074
 
33
8.35
 
12
31.33
61,088
 
18
10.07
 
14
29.37
201,064
 
12
11.03
 
28
20.16
288,096
 
8
12.65
 
29
19.89
115,814
 
32
8.54
 
39
17.21
5,482,592
 
20
9.73
 
26
21.45
30,816
 
44
7.51
 
34
19.15
511,685
 
25
8.88
 
8
38.33
185,666
 
9
12.18
 
15
27.62
488,093
 
4
15.92
 
4
54.82
56,448
 
17
10.22
 
25
21.48
185,693
 
6
14.57
 
2
60.57
101,781
 
1
20.90
 
7
39.61
7,289
 
27
8.78
 
31
19.69
4,222,652
 
29
8.73
 
21
24.25
7,967
 
23
9.18
 
1
65.08
55,429
 
41
7.93
 
10
33.75
29,594
Slipping Counties
 
35
8.21
 
85
-2.97
68,349
 
2
16.69
 
49
13.28
16,307
 
15
10.31
 
80
2.02
35,615
 
7
13.04
 
50
13.05
114,120
 
40
7.98
 
42
14.45
295,366
 
22
9.48
 
81
0.86
105,412
 
34
8.31
 
78
4.94
40,570
 
43
7.82
 
44
13.91
69,606
 
5
15.31
 
43
14.04
61,230
 
24
9.10
 
56
11.76
71,084
 
38
8.04
 
91
-21.49
19,158
 
16
10.30
 
74
6.51
18,043
 
36
8.12
 
47
13.34
342,351
 
10
11.77
 
63
9.47
107,875
 
14
10.55
 
73
7.04
34,635
 
13
10.58
 
79
3.16
10,268
 
21
9.64
 
52
12.94
107,993
 
30
8.67
 
59
11.07
54,982
 
19
9.75
 
51
12.95
51,826
 
42
7.84
 
84
-1.91
61,489
 
31
8.58
 
40
15.27
360,786
Gaining Counties
 
65
4.30
 
16
25.75
14,498
 
47
6.68
 
19
25.34
6,515
 
56
5.61
 
18
25.37
4,749
 
51
6.23
 
36
18.32
906,343
 
69
3.86
 
9
35.33
5,232
 
62
4.71
 
30
19.78
67,363
 
70
3.59
 
32
19.25
40,456
 
45
7.33
 
37
18.25
12,498
 
73
2.26
 
38
17.27
79,877
Lagging Counties
 
46
7.10
 
58
11.12
247,846
 
52
6.23
 
41
15.12
141,074
 
67
3.92
 
65
8.77
4,228
 
55
5.90
 
53
12.76
78,401
 
50
6.23
 
55
12.14
294,594
 
72
2.49
 
77
4.98
86,700
 
74
2.20
 
70
7.85
372,317
 
59
5.23
 
57
11.67
58,080
 
61
4.91
 
88
-7.85
24,351
 
49
6.38
 
76
5.48
910,306
 
54
5.92
 
60
10.23
262,921
 
57
5.55
 
62
10.17
1,450,706
 
77
-9.38
 
93
-64.59
3,740
 
63
4.57
 
87
-7.62
2,316
 
66
4.29
 
75
5.84
76,335
 
48
6.60
 
61
10.21
7,705
 
75
1.06
 
71
7.43
86,569
 
60
5.02
 
45
13.91
227,271
 
58
5.31
 
68
8.14
3,824
 
76
0.23
 
86
-3.04
15,350
 
68
3.89
 
72
7.21
136,322
 
64
4.57
 
46
13.36
66,740
 
71
3.31
 
89
-12.07
32,289
 
53
6.13
 
82
0.18
104,300
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
54
12.74
19,016
 
U
U
 
S
S
4,732
 
U
U
 
11
32.20
15,813
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
5
52.93
98,499
 
U
U
 
48
13.33
57,955
 
U
U
 
92
-23.90
2,793
 
U
U
 
90
-20.58
6,986
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,052
 
U
U
 
24
21.89
39,221
 
U
U
 
64
9.33
3,866
 
U
U
 
17
25.47
169,269
 
U
U
 
83
-1.32
2,769
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
69
7.92
63,613
 
U
U
 
33
19.23
21,161
 
U
U
 
S
S
24,414
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
67
8.58
21,027
 
U
U
 
6
40.24
3,004
 
U
U
 
66
8.62
40,861
 
U
U
 
20
24.32
8,367
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7.40
 
16.40
21,567,700
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.80
 
11.97
691,776,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611400_LSGL
 
   
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