Forsyth County vs. North Carolina
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Population Growth and Change, 1969-2019
Introduction
Forsyth County vs. North Carolina
Forsyth County:
2019 Population = 382,295
2019 Percent of State = 3.6%
North Carolina:
2019 Population = 10,488,084
2019 Percent of U.S. = 3.2%
Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy.
The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of Forsyth County with comparisons to North Carolina and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing Forsyth County vs. North Carolina's population growth over 1969-2019. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Population, 1969-2019
Population, 1969-2019
Figure 1.
Figure 1 tracks Forsyth County's annual population for the period 1969-2019 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 51-year period, Forsyth County's population rose from 210,470 in 1969 to 382,295 in 2019, for a net gain of 171,825, or 81.6%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population, 1969-2019
Population, 1969-2019
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks North Carolina's annual population for the period 1969-2019 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 51-year period, North Carolina's population rose from 5,031,000 in 1969 to 10,488,084 in 2019, for a net gain of 5,457,084, or 108.5%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2019
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2019
Figure 3.
Figure 3 portrays Forsyth County's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with North Carolina, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Forsyth County's overall population growth was 81.6% over 1969-2019 trailed North Carolina's increase of 108.5%, and topped the United States' increase of 63.1%.
Population as a Percent of the North Carolina Total: 1969-2019
Population as a Percent of the North Carolina Total: 1969-2019
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of highlighting the population growth of Forsyth County is to trace its individual percentage contributions to North Carolina's statewide population over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's population grew faster, or declined less, than North Carolina's population, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Forsyth County's population totaled 4.2% of North Carolina's population, while in 2019 it totaled 3.6% thereby yielding a -0.5% share-shift.
   
 
Population Share-Shift
2019 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2019
vs.
1969
-0.54%
=
3.65%
-
4.18%
 
   
Forsyth County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2019
Forsyth County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2019
Figure 5.
Figure 5 displays the short-run pattern of Forsyth County's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2019. The average annual percent change for the entire 50-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Forsyth County's population grew at an annual rate of 1.20% over 1970-2019. The county recorded its highest growth in 1970 (2.47%) and recorded its lowest growth in 1989 (0.48%). In 2019, Forsyth County's population grew by 0.81%
Forsyth County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2019
Forsyth County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2019
Figure 6.
Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again shows the annual percent change in Forsyth County's population since 1970, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2010-2019.
During the 1970s, Forsyth County's annual population growth rate averaged 1.40%. It averaged 0.91% during the 1980s, 1.37% during the 1990s, 1.39% during the 2000s, and 0.93% thus far this decade (2010 to 2019).
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Forsyth County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for North Carolina and the nation. As the chart reveals, Forsyth County's average annual population growth recorded under North Carolina's average in the 1970s (1.40% vs. 1.44%), fell below North Carolina's average throughout the 1980s (0.91% vs. 1.24%), lagged North Carolina's average throughout the 1990s (1.37% vs. 1.93%), amounted to less than North Carolina's average during the 2000s (1.39% vs. 1.74%), and fell below North Carolina's average over the 10 year period of the last decade, 2010-2019 (0.93% vs. 1.05%).
Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, Forsyth County outgained the nation over the 1970s (1.40% vs. 1.10%), recorded underneath the nation in the 1980s (0.91% vs. 0.95%), exceeded the nation in the 1990s (1.37% vs. 1.23%), surpassed the nation during the 2000s (1.39% vs. 0.95%), and led the nation over 2010-2019 (0.93% vs. 0.68%).
   
 
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
1.20
1.40
0.91
1.37
1.39
0.93
0.81
 
1.48
1.44
1.24
1.93
1.74
1.05
1.03
 
0.98
1.10
0.95
1.23
0.95
0.68
0.48
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Forsyth County:
Population, 1969-2019
 
1969
 
210,470
100.0
N
4.18
1970
 
215,678
102.5
2.47
4.23
1971
 
219,936
104.5
1.97
4.23
1972
 
224,175
106.5
1.93
4.23
1973
 
226,171
107.5
0.89
4.20
1974
 
227,831
108.2
0.73
4.17
1975
 
229,389
109.0
0.68
4.14
1976
 
231,733
110.1
1.02
4.14
1977
 
234,180
111.3
1.06
4.13
1978
 
238,244
113.2
1.74
4.15
1979
 
241,906
114.9
1.54
4.17
1980
 
244,497
116.2
1.07
4.14
1981
 
246,931
117.3
1.00
4.15
1982
 
249,154
118.4
0.90
4.14
1983
 
251,265
119.4
0.85
4.13
1984
 
253,543
120.5
0.91
4.11
1985
 
257,028
122.1
1.37
4.11
1986
 
258,482
122.8
0.57
4.09
1987
 
262,111
124.5
1.40
4.09
1988
 
263,655
125.3
0.59
4.07
1989
 
264,921
125.9
0.48
4.04
1990
 
266,855
126.8
0.73
4.00
1991
 
270,397
128.5
1.33
3.99
1992
 
273,771
130.1
1.25
3.97
1993
 
278,705
132.4
1.80
3.96
1994
 
284,496
135.2
2.08
3.96
1995
 
288,923
137.3
1.56
3.93
1996
 
293,811
139.6
1.69
3.92
1997
 
297,835
141.5
1.37
3.89
1998
 
301,159
143.1
1.12
3.86
1999
 
303,630
144.3
0.82
3.82
2000
 
307,156
145.9
1.16
3.80
2001
 
310,807
147.7
1.19
3.79
2002
 
314,215
149.3
1.10
3.77
2003
 
316,659
150.5
0.78
3.76
2004
 
319,997
152.0
1.05
3.74
2005
 
325,065
154.4
1.58
3.73
2006
 
332,110
157.8
2.17
3.72
2007
 
338,638
160.9
1.97
3.71
2008
 
344,330
163.6
1.68
3.70
2009
 
348,532
165.6
1.22
3.69
2010
 
351,374
166.9
0.82
3.67
2011
 
354,524
168.4
0.90
3.67
2012
 
357,598
169.9
0.87
3.67
2013
 
360,594
171.3
0.84
3.66
2014
 
364,439
173.2
1.07
3.67
2015
 
367,365
174.5
0.80
3.66
2016
 
371,260
176.4
1.06
3.66
2017
 
375,840
178.6
1.23
3.66
2018
 
379,216
180.2
0.90
3.65
2019
 
382,295
181.6
0.81
3.65
Source: Calculations by the North Carolina Regional Economic Analysis Project (NC-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2020
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
North Carolina:
Population, 1969-2019
 
1969
 
5,031,000
100.0
N
2.50
1970
 
5,099,150
101.4
1.35
2.50
1971
 
5,200,760
103.4
1.99
2.51
1972
 
5,296,085
105.3
1.83
2.53
1973
 
5,382,441
107.0
1.63
2.55
1974
 
5,461,112
108.5
1.46
2.56
1975
 
5,535,097
110.0
1.35
2.57
1976
 
5,593,463
111.2
1.05
2.57
1977
 
5,668,494
112.7
1.34
2.58
1978
 
5,740,286
114.1
1.27
2.58
1979
 
5,801,563
115.3
1.07
2.58
1980
 
5,898,980
117.3
1.68
2.60
1981
 
5,956,653
118.4
0.98
2.60
1982
 
6,019,108
119.6
1.05
2.60
1983
 
6,077,059
120.8
0.96
2.60
1984
 
6,164,004
122.5
1.43
2.61
1985
 
6,253,957
124.3
1.46
2.63
1986
 
6,321,576
125.7
1.08
2.63
1987
 
6,403,693
127.3
1.30
2.64
1988
 
6,480,591
128.8
1.20
2.65
1989
 
6,565,462
130.5
1.31
2.66
1990
 
6,664,016
132.5
1.50
2.67
1991
 
6,784,280
134.8
1.80
2.68
1992
 
6,897,214
137.1
1.66
2.69
1993
 
7,042,818
140.0
2.11
2.71
1994
 
7,187,398
142.9
2.05
2.73
1995
 
7,344,674
146.0
2.19
2.76
1996
 
7,500,670
149.1
2.12
2.78
1997
 
7,656,825
152.2
2.08
2.81
1998
 
7,809,121
155.2
1.99
2.83
1999
 
7,949,361
158.0
1.80
2.85
2000
 
8,081,614
160.6
1.66
2.86
2001
 
8,210,122
163.2
1.59
2.88
2002
 
8,326,201
165.5
1.41
2.89
2003
 
8,422,501
167.4
1.16
2.90
2004
 
8,553,152
170.0
1.55
2.92
2005
 
8,705,407
173.0
1.78
2.95
2006
 
8,917,270
177.2
2.43
2.99
2007
 
9,118,037
181.2
2.25
3.03
2008
 
9,309,449
185.0
2.10
3.06
2009
 
9,449,566
187.8
1.51
3.08
2010
 
9,574,323
190.3
1.32
3.10
2011
 
9,657,592
192.0
0.87
3.10
2012
 
9,749,476
193.8
0.95
3.11
2013
 
9,843,336
195.7
0.96
3.12
2014
 
9,932,887
197.4
0.91
3.12
2015
 
10,031,646
199.4
0.99
3.13
2016
 
10,154,788
201.8
1.23
3.14
2017
 
10,268,233
204.1
1.12
3.16
2018
 
10,381,615
206.4
1.10
3.18
2019
 
10,488,084
208.5
1.03
3.20
Source: Calculations by the North Carolina Regional Economic Analysis Project (NC-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2020
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Population, 1969-2019
 
1969
 
201,298,000
100.0
N
1970
 
203,798,722
101.2
1.24
1971
 
206,817,509
102.7
1.48
1972
 
209,274,882
104.0
1.19
1973
 
211,349,205
105.0
0.99
1974
 
213,333,635
106.0
0.94
1975
 
215,456,585
107.0
1.00
1976
 
217,553,859
108.1
0.97
1977
 
219,760,875
109.2
1.01
1978
 
222,098,244
110.3
1.06
1979
 
224,568,579
111.6
1.11
1980
 
227,224,719
112.9
1.18
1981
 
229,465,744
114.0
0.99
1982
 
231,664,432
115.1
0.96
1983
 
233,792,014
116.1
0.92
1984
 
235,824,907
117.2
0.87
1985
 
237,923,734
118.2
0.89
1986
 
240,132,831
119.3
0.93
1987
 
242,288,936
120.4
0.90
1988
 
244,499,004
121.5
0.91
1989
 
246,819,222
122.6
0.95
1990
 
249,622,814
124.0
1.14
1991
 
252,980,941
125.7
1.35
1992
 
256,514,224
127.4
1.40
1993
 
259,918,588
129.1
1.33
1994
 
263,125,821
130.7
1.23
1995
 
266,278,393
132.3
1.20
1996
 
269,394,284
133.8
1.17
1997
 
272,646,925
135.4
1.21
1998
 
275,854,104
137.0
1.18
1999
 
279,040,168
138.6
1.15
2000
 
282,162,411
140.2
1.12
2001
 
284,968,955
141.6
0.99
2002
 
287,625,193
142.9
0.93
2003
 
290,107,933
144.1
0.86
2004
 
292,805,298
145.5
0.93
2005
 
295,516,599
146.8
0.93
2006
 
298,379,912
148.2
0.97
2007
 
301,231,207
149.6
0.96
2008
 
304,093,966
151.1
0.95
2009
 
306,771,529
152.4
0.88
2010
 
309,321,666
153.7
0.83
2011
 
311,556,874
154.8
0.72
2012
 
313,830,990
155.9
0.73
2013
 
315,993,715
157.0
0.69
2014
 
318,301,008
158.1
0.73
2015
 
320,635,163
159.3
0.73
2016
 
322,941,311
160.4
0.72
2017
 
324,985,539
161.4
0.63
2018
 
326,687,501
162.3
0.52
2019
 
328,239,523
163.1
0.48
Source: Calculations by the North Carolina Regional Economic Analysis Project (NC-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2020
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2021. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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